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Your Hand
♠ A 9 8 4
♥ J 4
♦ K 9
♣ K J 10 7 3 |
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Q: 2 - What are your thoughts?
South | West | North | East |
- | Pass | Pass | 1♣ |
Pass | 1♥ | Pass | 2NT |
Pass | 3NT | Pass | Pass |
Pass | | | |
A: ♣3. Even though East opened 1♣, the Club suit still harbors the best hope of beating the contract. You have the vast majority of the defensive strength, so you need to set your own long suit up. It’s true that a Club lead will probably give declarer a cheap trick, but leading any of the other suits carries the same risk. If you can find partner with as little as the ♣9 that might be enough to beat the contract, but even if he has no useful cards declarer might still only have three Clubs if he has precisely 4.3.3.3 shape, which may enable you to set the suit up when you next get in.
Leading from A x x x against 3NT is rarely a good idea, as discussed in last week’s quiz, and will too often blow a trick when declarer has a stray honor. If it turns out that you need to play on Spades you can do so later. However, if you don’t lead Clubs now and that is the suit you need to play on, it may be too late. Declarer will likely have to knock out two of your high cards, the ♦K and ♠A, to establish his tricks, by which time you’ll have attacked Clubs twice, making it very likely that the suit will be set up by that point.
The normal card to lead from K J 10 x x is the Jack, and you could even consider the King so as to pin a singleton Queen, however that isn’t best here. Assuming declarer has Club length, the Jack will only gain in the unlikely scenario where it pins a singleton Eight or Nine in dummy and partner has the other one. Overall it’s unlikely that dummy has a singleton Club anyway, since with five Hearts or four Spades he would have investigated a major suit fit over 2NT.
The situations where leading the Jack will lose are much more likely: when partner has a singleton Eight or Nine, or even 9 x or Q x, when you need to lead a low one to keep the suit unblocked. The best card to lead in declarer’s suit is usually your lowest. The fourth-highest card is too often worth a trick when it’s needed to cover declarer’s spot card. Therefore you should spurn the standard lead of the Seven for the Three. If partner gains the lead, which is unlikely, he’ll know to return a Club. You wouldn’t lead declarer’s suit without a good reason to do so.
Your result so far: