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 "Guilty!" Responding to Limiting Bids by Marti Ronemus

Want to know if someone is telling the truth? Let's take some tips from airport screeners.

The main method TSA uses, called Screening of Passengers by Observation Techniques (SPOT) involves a list of 94 signs of anxiety and fear, like lack of eye contact or sweating. Interestingly, one report found that SPOT is ineffective, only slightly better than random chance.

Another method of screening is simply to talk to suspects. Open-ended questioning—known as the Controlled Cognitive Engagement method (CCE)—is 20 times more effective than trying to monitor based on behavior. In this approach, the agent just "chats" with the passenger, asking random open-ended questions like "Where did you go to college? What did you major in?"

In the study, officers using conversation-based screening caught 66% of deceptive passengers, compared to just 3% who used behavior-based screening.

Now, doesn't this give us food for thought? Let's think of our bids as random, conversation-based questions, and see if we can spot the guilty party! Today we're going to respond to Pard's limiting bids. Pard will have made a bit that shows his shape and limits his points. We will "Do the Math" and make the final decision.


Question 1

  Your Hand
 K J 8 4
 3 2
 K J 8 3
 8 7 6
 
Q: 1 - South:
SouthWestNorthEast
--1Pass
1Pass1 No-trumpPass
?


 Your choice:
A: Pass: Pard's 1 No-trump rebid shows 12-14 points, and no other biddable suit. We are going nowhere fast.

Your result so far:
Open Question

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Question 2

  Your Hand
 K J 8 4
 3 2
 K J 8 3
 8 7 6
 
Q: 2 - South:
SouthWestNorthEast
--1Pass
1Pass3Pass
?


 Your choice:
A: 4: Pard's got 16-18 points and support for our Spades. Our hand has increased in value. We should bid game.

Your result so far:
Open Question

Question 3

  Your Hand
 K J 8 4
 3 2
 K Q 8 4
 A 7 6
 
Q: 3 - South:
SouthWestNorthEast
--1Pass
1Pass2Pass
?


 Your choice:
A: 4: Pard has shown a minimum opener of 12-14 points and a six-card suit. We have game-going values and need to place the contract. We might well consider 3 No-trump, but with a highly-distributional minimum Pard, that can be transportation problems. We will probably be safer in a suit.

Your result so far:
Open Question

Question 4

  Your Hand
 K J 8 4
 3 2
 K Q 8 4
 A 7 6
 
Q: 4 - South:
SouthWestNorthEast
--1Pass
1Pass2Pass
?


 Your choice:
A: 3 No-trump: We have the same hand as last question, but this time when Pard leaves it up to us, he's shown nine cards in two suits and we're not worried about transportation. We're going to go the "I only need nine tricks" route this time.

This points up how the same hand changes value with each bid. The truth becomes clearer with each question.

Your result so far:
Open Question

Question 5

  Your Hand
 K J 8 4
 3 2
 K 9 8 7
 8 7 6
 
Q: 5 - South:
SouthWestNorthEast
--1Pass
1Pass3Pass
?


 Your choice:
A: 3 No-trump: Pard's Jump Shift is forcing for one round. Despite the paucity of our wee hand, a game bid in No-trump best describes our hand. We've got stoppers in the two suits he didn't bid and really nothing else to say.

And so it goes. Let's see what lies we uncover when we try our hand.

Your result so far:
Open Question

Play this Hand

Now that you've bid five hands, let's see how your play goes.

Overall Results

Your results:   out of    Average: 

What next? You may enjoy playing our prepared hands series.
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